Professor of political science at University of North Texas Michael Greig said to ILNA news agency that Iran’s nuclear deal (JCPOA) was a good step toward stability in the region.
He added that my guess is that Iran and Europe will try to sustain the agreement until the next U.S. presidential election in the hopes, that if Trump loses the election, the next U.S. president will re-join the agreement.
“Key to that possibility is that Iran remains complaint with the terms of the agreement.”
He refers to Trump's negative decision and said “I’m not sure that there is much positive to say about the decision by Trump. As for negative outcomes, it created divisions between the U.S. and Europe, and empowered the positions of hardliners in both the U.S. and Iran, and it also provided a bad example for North Korea in its negotiations with the U.S.”
U.S analyst believes that American politics is hard to predict this far away from a presidential election. Trump’s current public opinion polls are quite negative, which suggest that his reelection is far from certain.
He added “Iran has complained about the delay in announcing the European Union's financial mechanism, and within it, some believe that this mechanism is not enough to meet all the obligations of Europeans in the end."